2023 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, odds, field: PGA predictions, bets from model that nailed nine majors

The PGA Tour season continues on Thursday, May 25, after the second major championship of the season. The 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge returns to Fort Worth for the second Texas tournament in the last three weeks. Sam Burns is the defending champion after defeating Scottie Scheffler, the current No. 1 player in the world, in a playoff. Burns shot a 5-under 65 on the final day to force the playoff. Does Burns have more magic at Colonial Country Club this week to win the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Scheffler is the 4-1 favorite according to the latest 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Jordan Spieth (12-1), Viktor Hovland (14-1), Tony Finau (14-1) and Collin Morikawa (16-1) are next in line on the PGA odds board, while Burns is 22-1 to repeat. Before locking in your 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn’t won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023: Hovland, a five-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Hovland is coming off an impressive showing at the PGA Championship, securing a T-2 finish at Oak Hill. Hovland has now finished T-7 or better in each his last two starts at major championships. 

However, Hovland has struggled mightily the week after majors this season. After his T-7 finish at the Masters, Hovland recorded a T-59 finish at the RBC Heritage a week later. He’s also finished T-31 or worse in three of his last five starts on the PGA Tour. The 25-year-old is one of the best ball strikers on tour, but he ranks 114th in strokes gained: putting (-0.074) and 145th in total putting (263.9). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 field.

Another surprise: Max Homa, a 22-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Homa has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 32-year-old finished tied for 55th at the PGA Championship, but finished T-8 at the Wells Fargo Championship before that. He has four top-10 finishes in his last eight tournaments.

Homa has won two of 15 events with seven top-10 finishes this season, including winning the Farmers Insurance Open in January. He is eighth in strokes gained (1.817) on the PGA Tour with top-20 strokes gained marks on tee to green, approach the green and putting. His putter has been crucial to his success, as he ranks fifth in strokes gained: putting (.709,) fourth in putting average and sixth in total putting. If Homa can start strong off the tee and continue his elite putting as of late, he brings value at 22-1. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 odds longer than 20-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s Charles Schwab Challenge picks here.

So, who will win the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, field

See full the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Jordan Spieth 12-1
Tony Finau 14-1
Viktor Hovland 14-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1
Sungjae Im 18-1
Max Homa 22-1
Sam Burns 22-1
Rickie Fowler 30-1
Justin Rose 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 33-1
Russell Henley 35-1
Chris Kirk 45-1
Cam Davis 45-1
Denny McCarthy 50-1
Si Woo Kim 50-1
Min Woo Lee 60-1
Emiliano Grillo 60-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Kurt Kitayama 65-1
Tom Hoge 70-1
Stephan Jaeger 75-1
Brendon Todd 75-1
Ryan Fox 80-1
Harris English 80-1
Byeong Hun An 80-1
Taylor Moore 80-1
Lucas Herbert 80-1
K.H. Lee 90-1
Patrick Rodgers 90-1
Thomas Detry 90-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90-1
Davis Riley 100-1
Joseph Bramlett 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
J.J. Spaun 100-1
Maverick McNealy 100-1
J.T. Poston 100-1
Alex Smalley 100-1
Beau Hossler 100-1
Justin Suh 100-1
Eric Cole 100-1
Sam Stevens 125-1
Will Gordon 125-1
Nick Taylor 125-1
Hayden Buckley 125-1
S.H. Kim 150-1
Andrew Putnam 150-1
Ben Griffin 150-1
Ryan Palmer 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Akshay Bhatia 175-1
Joel Dahmen 175-1
Ben Martin 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Matt Wallace 175-1
Robby Shelton 200-1
Garrick Higgo 200-1
Austin Eckroat 200-1
Cameron Champ 200-1
Vincent Norrman 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1

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